Updated Bowl Projections: Northern Illinois Returns to BCS

27 Nov

Two weeks left in the season (except for Army-Navy), and there is a major shake-up in the teams making BCS games.

This past week, Northern Illinois jumped Fresno State in the BCS rankings.  With both teams in the top-16 in the BCS rankings, and an automatic-qualifying champion finishing below both teams, one of them is likely to make a BCS game.

The other deciding factor for Northern Illinois to now jump into a BCS game comes down to one game.  Fresno State will finish the season playing only 12 games (including a conference championship game), while Northern Illinois will play 13.  Fresno State was forced to cancel a game due to weather earlier in the season, and could not find an opponent to play a 12th game.

Looking at the other BCS games, many remain the same.  Oregon’s unexpected loss to Arizona knocks them out in favor of Stanford, who will claim the Pac-12’s bid to the Rose Bowl.

With Alabama and Florida State going to the National Championship, the Orange and Sugar Bowls preserve their normal automatic bids and choose Clemson (Orange) and Auburn (Sugar) as replacement teams.  Michigan State picks up the last available spot as an at-large team.

When figuring out the rest of the projections, teams potentially playing in conference championship games run the risk of slipping.  A perfect example of this is South Carolina.  In these projections, Missouri loses allowing the Gamecocks to reach the SEC Championship Game.  If they lose, it is likely they could fall below other teams with the same amount of wins (this would include a loss this week to Clemson).

After this week, several schools should begin to accept bowl bids, allowing the bowl picture to get a little clearer.

BOWL

TEAMS

Gildan New Mexico Bowl

Utah State

Arizona

Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl

Fresno State

UCLA

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

Buffalo

UNLV

R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl

North Texas

Louisiana-Lafayette

Beef ‘O’ Brady’s St. Petersburg Bowl

Middle Tennessee

Southern Methodist

Sheraton Hawaii Bowl

East Carolina

Colorado State

Little Caesars Pizza Bowl

Bowling Green

Arkansas State

San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl

San Diego State

Toledo

Military Bowl Presented By Northrop Grumman

Tulane

Pittsburgh

Texas Bowl

Michigan

Texas Tech

Fight Hunger Bowl

Washington

BYU

New Era Pinstripe Bowl

Houston

Notre Dame

Belk Bowl

Louisville

Georgia Tech

Russell Athletic Bowl

Virginia Tech

Cincinnati

Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl

Minnesota

Texas

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl

Boise State

Navy

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl

Vanderbilt

North Carolina

Valero Alamo Bowl

Oregon

Oklahoma

National University Holiday Bowl

Kansas State

USC

Advocare V100 Bowl

Boston College

Central Michigan

Hyundai Sun Bowl

Miami (FL)

Arizona State

AutoZone Liberty Bowl

Marshall

Ole Miss

Chick-fil-A Bowl

Duke

South Carolina

TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl

Iowa

Georgia

Heart of Dallas Bowl

Ohio

Rice

Capital One Bowl

Wisconsin

Missouri

Outback Bowl

Nebraska

Texas A&M

Rose Bowl Game presented by VIZIO

Stanford

Ohio State

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl

Oklahoma State

Northern Illinois

Allstate Sugar Bowl

Auburn

UCF

Discover Orange Bowl

Clemson

Michigan State

AT&T Cotton Bowl

Baylor

LSU

BBVA Compass Bowl

Mississippi State

Rutgers

GoDaddy Bowl

Western Kentucky

Ball State

VIZIO BCS National Championship

Alabama

Florida State